Here is a rough breakdown of expected cash game winrate by position on a full ring table. Note that the average winrate in the small blind and big blind are negative. This rate is perfectly normal.
The winrate from the earlier positions is more or less negligible. This statistic is one reason why many players prefer shorthanded tables. In the context of poker, the term variance refers to the way our results can differ from our actual winrate over a period of time.
A losing poker player can go on a winning streak that lasts a lot longer than the average person might expect. Over , hands, what are the chances that such a player makes money? Calculations indicate that the percentage chance of such a player being in profit is a massive On the flip side,this player can also lose as many as 80 stacks despite his expected value being around 20 stacks lost over the ,hand sample.
As we might imagine, this presents live players with a bit of a puzzle. Assuming 30 hands per hour as a standard rate of dealing at a brick and mortar casino it would take around 10, hours of grinding to guess our winrate. Even if we played for 12 hours a day, seven days a week, we would still have to grind for over two years to reach such a sample.
Assuming a more regular hour working week, it would take closer to five years to achieve such a sample size. To put this into context, a high-volume online professional could reach such a sample in around three months assuming , hands played per month which is not unreasonable when mass multi-tabling.
With a heavy emphasis on improving winrate, it can be very easy to lose sight of what is essential. Although a high winrate is great for bragging rights, the goal of most players is to make as much money as possible not to generate the highest winrate. We play around hands per hour. Scenario 2 — We play six tables online and accept that we may make some mistakes here and there. There is no question that scenario 1 produces the highest winrate and the coolest looking graph if we use tracking software.
However, it should also be clear that scenario 2 is a more profitable moneymaking venture. Scenario 1 generates around 10bb per hour. Scenario 2 generates 35bb per hour due to the higher volume. But who really is the better player? The same can be said for ROI in tournaments.
Want the glory of being the champion? Cash games are the purest form of poker, where your chips represent…. PokerStars has the largest community of Poker Players on the Planet. Whatever your game, whatever your experience, sign up for an account and get involved today. Skip to content. Master the Fundamentals. Fix Leaks. Play Smarter Better Poker. Start learning at your own pace today No sign-up required. View Courses. As I often say, anything that is a positive number is good.
But beware, we need a large sample of hands before we take this stat too seriously. Now of course a big problem here is going to be the sample size. Instead, focus on your decision making, develop a study routine, and frequently try to analyse your play; discussing hands with stronger players wherever possible. If you can move down in stakes temporarily while you improve your game, this is recommended. What is a good BB per ?
What does BB mean?
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